The Model T was in production for over 19 years.

Sales of color TV sets took 15 to 20 years to surpass sales of black and white TV sets, which took 10 to 15 years to move from being a luxury product to being a home staple.

Outdoor sanitation (that’s toilets, kids) was still a thing in many rural areas into the 1980s. In the United States.

Full-scale Internet adoption has taken 15 to 20 years and still isn’t complete in many places.

LLM adoption and the adoption of the outputs from LLMs (even the ones that we goggle at right now) will take 15 to 30 years to accomplish full cultural adoption.

Both the AI-Doomer and the AI Accelerationist alike need to slow their roll, hold their horses, and wait for the bubble generated by OpenAI being massively overleveraged to burst and for all of the current frothing at the mouth to come back to earth.